FADE IN
Act 1
INT. BEDROOM - 08:30
Sitting up in bed, PETER brows through Facebook feeds on his mobile.
PETER (V.O.): Today's Chinese New Year Eve. Following tradition, I'd host a big family dinner.
Pausing.
PETER (V.O.)(Cont'd): Ha, there's an eLearning app persuading people to learn Logic.
Recalling.
PETER (V.O.) (Cont'd): In 1976, Lond U admitted me to read the BA in Philosophy as an external student - all I got was a thin "Study Guide" and a thick "Reading List".
Recalling.
PETER (V.O.)(Cont'd): The subjects I must take were Logic & Methodology, Epistemology, Ethics and History of Philosophy.
Recalling.
PETER (V.O.)(Cont'd): The "Study Guide" suggested that I had to master Logic & Methodology first. So I studied the subject seriously.
Act 2
INT. DINING ROOM - 08:45
Peter is sharing breakfast with Kaji, the family pet.
PETER (V.O.): Among other things on Logic, the eLearning app mentions the "Survivorship Bias".
Pausing.
PETER (V.O) (Cont'd): Survivorship bias is a cognitive bias that occurs when people focus on the individuals or things that have "survived" a process or event while ignoring those that didn't.
Pausing.
PETER (V.O)(Cont'd): In a more general sense, survivorship bias can be in various domains, such as business, career advice, historical analysis and investing.
Pausing.
PETER (V.O) (Cont'd): In investing, survivorship bias can occur when one analyzes the performance of a particular stock market index or a group of mutual funds without considering the stocks and funds that have failed and no longer exist.
Pausing.
PETER (V.O) (Cont'd): By focusing only on the surviving entities, people may get a distorted perspective of the overall performance or success rate.
Pausing.
PETER (V.O) (Cont'd): Survivorship bias can lead to flawed conclusions because it ignores the crucial information provided by the failures or non-survivors.
Pausing.
PETER (V.O) (Cont'd): By neglecting the full dataset, people may overlook important factors or characteristics that contributed to the failures or non-survivors.
Pausing.
PETER (V.O)(Cont'd): This can result in skewed perceptions, inaccurate assessments, and poor decision-making.
Pausing.
PETER (V.O)(Cont'd): Logic provides a framework for rational thinking and decision-making. It teaches me how to analyze arguments, evaluate evidence, and draw valid conclusions.
Pausing.
PETER (V.O)(Cont'd): By learning Logic, I can develop critical thinking skills to make more informed and reasoned judgments in various aspects of life.
Pausing.
PETER (V.O)(Cont'd): Logic helps me to express my thoughts and ideas in a clear and coherent manner. By understanding logical principles, I can structure arguments, identify fallacies, and present my viewpoints in a way that is understandable and persuasive to others.
Pausing.
PETER (V.O)(Cont'd): Logic is therefore a fundamental tool for intellectual growth, personal development, and success in various aspects of life.
INT. STUDY - 12:15
Checking WhatsApp messages, Peter sees an image of a hamper in his chambers.
PETER (V.O): To send hampers during festive times is a tradition.
Thinking.
PETER (V.O)(Cont'd): It also serves as a specific example of the survivorship bias.
Contemplating.
PETER (V.O)(Cont'd): I've been a chosen recipient. Many others are excluded.
Recalling.
PETER (V.O)(Cont'd): Through the weathering of time, many traditions have become obsolete.
Pondering.
PETER (V.O)(Cont'd): Is some logic more significant than most traditions?
Act 3
INT. BEDROOM - 23:30
Working on a laptop, Peter inserts an AI drawing called "The Logic of Tradition..." to a text.
PETER (V.O): In this screenplay, I explore the interplay of Logic eg survivor bias and the significance of family and tradition.
Thinking.
PETER (V.O) (Cont'd): While rational thinking is important, there's also the need to embrace the joy, love and connections that tradition brings to my life.
Pausing.
PETER (V.O.)(Cont'd): My big family has just had a joyful dinner. The true essence of festive times lies in the celebration of unity or family, intuitively and logically.
FADE OUT
THE END
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